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ABOUT 3.7M ENROLLED IN DRUG CARD PROGRAM
The Bush administration is nearly halfway toward its goal
of enrolling 7.4 million people in the Medicare prescription
drug discount card program, according to CMS Administrator Mark
McClellan, the AP/Detroit News reports. To date, nearly 3.7
million people have enrolled in the program, which Bush
administration officials say has helped reduce prescription drug
costs by 10% to 25% for beneficiaries since April.  According to
the AP/News, some 66% of beneficiaries in the drug card program
were enrolled automatically -- either because of their
membership in a managed care plan or in a state prescription
drug assistance plan permitted to automatically enrol them.
Health care analysts say as many as 700,000 low-income
beneficiaries could be enrolled in the program if the federal
government expanded automatic enrolments (Sherman, AP/Detroit
News, 7/6).  According to John Rother, policy director for AARP,
the political "controversy" over the new Medicare law has
"definitely inhibited enrolments so far." He added, "The people
who obviously do the best, who are helped quite substantially,
are the low-income seniors ... but they're hard to find, and
they've been hard to sign up." Grace-Marie Turner, president of
the Galen Institute, said, "There are some people who just don't
want to see any program succeed that was created by Republicans.
But I think it's really reckless to discourage seniors,
especially low-income seniors, from taking advantage of this
program" (Lochhead, San Francisco Chronicle, 7/6).  Joseph
Antos, a health policy expert at the American Enterprise
Institute, said, "We should do as much as we can not to leave
people out" of the drug card program.
BUSH ADMINISTRATION 'RESISTING' AUTOMATIC ENROLLMENT
EXPANSION
The Bush administration so far "is resisting" calls to
expand automatic enrolments, saying it does not want to limit
people's choice of cards. Although McClellan has "not ruled out
broader automatic sign-ups," the Bush administration currently
is limiting its efforts to enrol low-income beneficiaries by
providing nearly $5 million to the Access to Benefits Coalition,
a group of civic organizations dedicated to persuading
low-income Medicare beneficiaries to enrol on their own, the
AP/News reports.  McClellan said he expects the rate of
enrolment to increase in the next few weeks (AP/Detroit News,
7/6).  He said that 25,000 people are signing up each day (San
Francisco Chronicle, 7/6).  Legislation introduced in the House
and the Senate that would require automatic enrolment of
low-income Medicare beneficiaries has not advanced (AP/Detroit
News, 7/6).
PRICE CONTROLS?
In related news, a number of industry analysts are
predicting that as the cost of the new Medicare law increases in
the next decade, insurers offering prescription drug coverage to
Medicare beneficiaries will pressure the federal government to
institute price controls on prescription drugs,
Reuters/Philadelphia Inquirer reports.  The law prohibits the
federal government from negotiating prices with drug companies.
According to the Bush administration, the new Medicare
prescription drug benefit will cost at least $530 billion in the
first 10 years after it begins in 2006.  However, according to
Diane Duston, a public policy analyst with Prudential Equity
Group, the cost of the drug benefit could reach $800 billion in
the first decade of the program, "tempting federal officials
to adopt some form of price controls by 2009 to ease the drain
on the [U.S.] Treasury," Reuters/Inquirer reports.  Duston said,
"Politicians will avoid using the phrase 'price controls' but
may attempt something" similar.  Matt Stephani, a portfolio
manager of Idex Great Companies-America Fund, said that if price
controls were instituted for Medicare beneficiaries, there would
be a "spill over" of lower drug prices for privately insured U.S.
residents because the "privately insured would look at the
Medicare prices and insist they be used as a negotiating point"
for the cost of their own medicines.  Stephani and Duston said
that the federal government also might be forced to institute
some form of price controls if insurers begin losing money on
the Medicare drug coverage and stop covering Medicare
beneficiaries.  "Managed care could say to heck with it, it's a
big hassle, let's walk away from it.  It would become a
government-run program at that point," Gordon Carey, a senior
official with Cambridge Pharma Consultancy, said (Pierson,
Reuters/Philadelphia Inquirer, 7/5).



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